Economic Outlook 2008
by Courtney Carlovsky (Nicholas 2010)
My fellow Nicholas Center first-years and I attended the Economic Outlook
Conference on September 12th. The four speakers presenting their thoughts
on the economy were: Charles Payne, Principal Analyst and CEO Wall Street
Strategies; Anirvan Banerji, Director of Research Economic Research Institute
(ECRI); Doug Ramsey, CFA Leuthold Weeden Capital Management; and Clare
Zempel, Principal Zempel Strategic. Each had his own view on what is going
on currently in the economy, how we got there, and where it is likely headed
over the next year. Some were messages of optimism while others were a bit more pessimistic. Overall, each agreed that we are in a recession; though, there
were some varying thoughts regarding how much longer the recession would last.
The signs of this recession were there early but its arrival was delayed due
to a lack of volatility in the system. The majority of the speakers provided historical indicators of all recessions, including this one. The indicators followed the same
pattern for this recession as those in the past. When times get tough, people often ask, "What is the government going to do to help us out"? However, there is only so much the government can do for the economy while we ride out a recession.